Romney and Obama do battle…but does the election outcome really matter?
October 29, 2012 PST: Voice of America’s Ken Bredemeier reports that “Polls in recent days show Romney edging ahead of the incumbent in national voter sentiment, in part because of overwhelming support for him in some southern and western states.” He says, “Those are the most conservative parts of the country that in recent elections have voted solidly for Republican presidential candidates.”
But wait, there’s more:
But the surveys – at least for the moment – show a different story in the battleground states.
In these eight states, the polling of would-be voters shows Obama maintaining slight leads in five of them – the midwestern states of Ohio, Wisconsin and Iowa, as well as the northeastern state of New Hampshire and the western state of Nevada. If Obama wins these five states with 44 electoral votes, and holds the ones he is expected to carry, he would have 281 electoral votes, enough to win a second term in the White House.
Polling shows that Romney appears to have gained a narrow lead in the southern state of Florida, with 29 electoral votes, and is in close contests with the president in the mid-Atlantic state of Virginia and the western state of Colorado with another 22.
Numerous analysts say the bellwether state of Ohio, with its 18 electoral votes, is the key battleground. No Republican has won the White House without winning that state. It is a large state with three major cities – Cleveland, Columbus and Cincinnati – and numerous smaller towns. There are vast farmlands in Ohio, as well as major manufacturing plants.
The president and Romney have staged numerous campaign rallies in Ohio. Surveys have shown the president with an average two-percentage point lead. But if Romney were to overcome that lead and collect the state’s electoral votes, he could win the election.
However, the question remains: Does the election result really matter? Has a US election result mattered since the Kennedy era?
We attempt to answer these questions in our international thriller novels, The Ninth Orphan (The Orphan Trilogy, #1), and The Orphan Factory (The Orphan Trilogy, #2) and shed some light on who wields the real power in today’s world…
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